2019, ജൂലൈ 17

Facts about Petrol Price Hikes in India.


Comparing Effects of Including Fuel price (Petrol) with and without GST in Kerala 2019

Duties levied by Central and State Govt.
Average exchange rate Rs/$ =68/$
Crude oil price = 61 $ /barrel
Crude oil Price in Rs/Litre. = 27.65 Rs/litre

Entry Tax ,Refining process,Other operational cost Rs/litre =6Rs
Transportation cost Rs/litre = 3.31Rs

Price charged to dealers excluding excise and VAT Rs/Litre =36.96Rs
Add.Excise duty Rs/Litre (Before GST) = 17.98
Add Excise duty Rs/Litre (After GST) =0
Add.Dealer commission (average) Rs/Litre =3.40

 Total Before GST =58.34 Rs/litre
 Total After GST =40.36 Rs/litre

Add.VAT applicable for state@ 3o.37% Rs/Litre  Before GST =17.71Rs
 Add.VAT applicable for state After GST Rs/Litre =0
Add. GSTat peak rate of 28% Rs/Litre After GST= 11.03

Retail selling price After GST Rs/Litre =51.39 Rs
Retail selling price Before GST  Rs/Litre= 76 Rs

Fuel Duties and Revenues 

Difference (Before GST-After GST) Rs/Litre =24.61 Rs
  • VAT charge is 30%
  • GST comes under different slabs 5/12/18/28% if even max GST is levied we can save 24 Rs/Litre
  • To maintain existing revenues under GST Govt has to impose 60% GST slab for petrol.

Processing crude oil->
Crude Oil Processing Flow Chart
Crude Oil -> Refining -> Petrol -> Refining margin, Transportation, vendor commission = Production cost of Petrol
(1 barrel of crude oil yields 150 litre of petrol)
Average value of dollar this year = Rs.61.53
Average price of crude oil barrel this year = $61/barrel
Refining, margin, transportation, commission per barrel = Rs. 672 (approx $12)*
150 litre of petrol = 61.× 61.53 + 672 = Rs. 4425
i.e. 1 litre of petrol = 4425 / 150 = Rs. 29.5
The cost depends on factors like quality of crude oil, refinery. However changes in it would not greatly affect product price.

Crude Oil Price Vs Petrol Diesel Price
The value to dollar is given by petroleum products because america has stopped valuing its dollar with gold years before since the gold values were fluctuating. Since after world war-2 world was flooded with dollars and it enabled the world to use dollar as they would with gold. Oil which is global commodity was traded using dollars which simplifies the system. Due to this hard link of dollar with oil dollar remains as the reserve currency of world.
Oil and Dollar Relation Trend Chart
Middle east countries will accept dollars for selling petroleum since they are still paying back their debts in dollars to america. 
Suppose India want to buy petrol they have to pay in dollars to Middle East,for that we need to buy American dollars. so buying additional Dollar from currency traders will depreciate Rupee value and appreciate dollar value .Crude oil Price is determined by OPEC which accounts around 40% of world oil supply, OPEC will cut down its productions to increase crude oil price in international market . When US entered crude oil market since they have surplus productions OPEC increased their productions to lower the crude oil rate that will affect US influence in crude oil market and the prices fall down from 100$ per barrel to 55$ per barrel .
Now due to internal problems some middle east countries want revenues and they cut down their productions to increase the demand, along with this recent sanctions on Iran will certainly bring up the crude oil price in coming future.


Indian Oil and Gas Companies and Administration.
Structural Chart of Indian Petroleum Organizations

Profit margin of Indian oil companies
ONGC               62296 crores
Indian oil            42113 crores
Bharat Petroleum     17058 crores
Hindustan Petroleum  12944 crores
GAIL                8454 crores

Capex Expenditure for oil companies in India
Capital Expenditure of Oil companies in India


Foreign holdings in select Indian oil and gas companies
Share Holding Pattern for Oil Companies in India
If the government will subsidies Diesel price,  fiscal deficit will increase means govt is spending more money than it makes.This subsidy will be payed from tax payers money. When crude oil price dropped the then govt removed the subsidies and the decided to deregulate fuel prices means govt does not control fuel prices and price control depends on price of crude in international market and oil refining charges. Depends on that oil companies will revise the prices every 15 days depends on the existing situations.And they have recovered from the losses happened before.


Petrol Pumps ownership is classified as, dealer owned and operated, directly company owned and operated, company owned dealer operated .
When public firms came forward to own and operate petrol pumps they succeeded in catching the market bulky, these events triggered the state firms to increase dealerships drastically .This expansion cause decrease in volume of fuel available in pumps for selling and their profits have gone down, apart from that the volume of fuel available to dealers will not be exactly as billed to dealers since petroleum is volatile and temperature variations while filling and transportation will cause the product to evaporate and volumetric quantity will vary. Since dealers have made agreements with company regarding the acceptable variance in sales per day they have to adjust the amount of fuel delivered to customer for keeping their profit in safe limits.